I absolutely cannot believe that CB thinks he has a 1:4 chance of winning! Surely even he cannot be that STUPID!I'm surprised he can even figure out what clothes to put on in the morning. Oh yeah, I forgot - he rarely wears a shirt. Must be too taxing for his peabrain to make the decision.
Everyone is entitled to my opinion.
LAST EDITED ON 09-12-04 AT 02:31 PM (EST)You're wrong.
You've given the probability for one event occuring out four events sharing the same individual probability. For example a lottery where one numbered ball is chosen randomly out of four balls.
This is not a lottery. The actions and abilities of the contestants increase or decrease the individual probability that they will successfully avoid elimination. The calculation for individual probabilities would, therefore, result in different numbers for each person.