That's her in #12 too, right?

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These are hard vidcaps to deduce anything fom, other than a tribal breakdown. So, until we have others, let's discuss what game-changing events could take place based on what we see hear.

Caps 2-12
This is obviously post-TC, and Twila is still defensive about her vow on her son's life. She has gone on a tyrade. Everyone is present, but the question is... Is someone fueling this fire? Scout, Eliza, and Chris, have benefitted twice now from Twila's lie, so I don't think they would be upset with her at this point. So Julie should be the only one upset with her. In fact we she Julie rolling her eyes as Twila talks. I would guess this is an argument between Julie and Twila and everyone is just sitting there watching.

Caps 13-16
Now a new conflict has risen bewteen Eliza and twila. Again, Twila's original lie, helped Eliza, so why would she be mad. My guess is that Twila has lied again, and now Eliza feels vulnerable. We saw in last night's episode that Twila started to "swear" that she wouldn't screw over Eliza, so maybe Twila is going back on her word.

Caps 18-19
Chris is smug, watching the drama unfold. He needs Eliza on his side, and i bet he instigates something between her and Twila, thus creating the confrontation between the two. If thisis the case the new question is why would he start tearing apart his Final 4 alliance between Julie is gone.

LAST EDITED ON 12-03-04 AT 01:11 PM (EST)

In the past, the super-challenge recap of previous challenges was used as follows:

S1- None
S2- As F5 RC Winner Colby- Car, shower meal
S3- As F5 IC Winner Lex- Car (So it was reward too)
S4- As F5 RC Winner Sean- Car and feast
S5- As F4 IC Winner Brian (Car had been given at F5 RC)
S6- As F5 RC Winner Matt- Car and meal
S7- As F5 RC Winner Burton- Car and meal
S8- As F5 RC Winner Rob- Car and meal/movie

All that being said, let's figure out whether this is for reward or immunity...Promos up now and it is saying this is for immunity.

Most likely progression-
Stage 1:
Mudcrawl- eliminates Scout
Stage 2:
Pig Grab- eliminates Julie or Eliza it's a toss up
Stage 3:
Tiki Puzzle- eliminates Twila, Julie, or Chris
Final Stage:
Balance beam (wider than the ones used in E1)- and Shooting plates- Really depends on who is left here
If between Twila and Eliza Twila wins
If between Twila and Julie Toss up
If between Chris and Twila Toss up
If between Chris and Eliza Chris wins
If between Chris and Julie Toss up
If between Julie and Eliza Julie wins

Last time they caught pigs they were clean to start with and Eliza balked, was it fear of pig or fear of dirt? This time all will be freshly muddied from the mud crawl and therefore she may not care and just go for it. However, if the reward is a car, she mught not have much incentive to want to grab a piggy, especially if the others get a good jump on her.

It is easy to speculate that Scout has no shot of winning, Eliza most likely won't win.

Between the other 3 it all depends on who can get that puzzle done first, that will be the key to the remaining steps. If this is for immunity then most likely Twila or Chris wins if Julie is indeed the boot. (How many times will the person who gets the boot in the episode finish 2nd in immunity this season?)

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It doesn't make sense for it to be a car, as that's already been given out. Most likely for immunity.

This type of challenge would seem to favor Chris or possibly Twila.

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This challenge is for reward, the scramble challenge is for immunity (now that we have vidcaps). It would make sense for them to give another car at reward, they have given multiple cars in the past, and this way they get double the exposure for the advertising of it.

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