I agree totally.I think Ami is smart enough to adjust to changes in the game. I don't believe she will keep her stratgy static while the games changes around her. But if Ami gets Chad will she know what to do with him?
S-Lady
LAST EDITED ON 11-16-04 AT 11:04 AM (EST)Here are my problems with Ami being able to turn the tables:
1) The guys are certain that Ami's agenda is to keep the women solid. That, if given the option, she would choose a woman over either of them. Rory cautioned them as to how "ruthless" Ami is. I don't think either one of them want any part of her. And both of them know that she's the head of group. That's why they've been pushing since the merge to get rid of her.
2) Ami's much more of a challenge threat than Scout is. We already know the challenge threat baggage these guys have. They'd have to be over a serious barrel to pick Ami over Scout.
3) They have at least a tie with Scout and Twila. Twila has said she's more comfortable with the guys. Scout has a good personal relationship with Chris. Chris pulls the strings where Chad's concerned. Chad will not be able to convince Chris to make the move with Ami.
For me, I think something may go down, around the "most useless person" argument, between Ami and Scout. We have Chris' quote in the promo saying "if you question a woman's ability, she'll snap your neck". I think this is fallout after the tribe argues over who is the most useless, and Scout makes the decision to put her chips in with the boys.
The stumper in all of this is does the newly formed Scout/Twila/Chad/Chris bloc get a fifth member, or do they take their chances with a tie? It's hard for me to believe that they would take their chances, given that we haven't had a TC tie since the Purple Rock of Doom in S4. If they DO manage a majority, is the fifth Eliza (who is at odds with both Scout and Twila) or Julie (who seems to be MUCH more solid with Ami, Leeann and Eliza than with the older S/T/C/C bloc)? As of now, I can't think of one good reason that either of them would jump, UNLESS Eliza does what she did in E2. If she thinks she's the target, and Julie has immunity (as has been speculated elsewhere), she may agree to vote for Ami to save herself.
Fester
"The stumper in all of this is does the newly formed Scout/Twila/Chad/Chris bloc get a fifth member, or do they take their chances with a tie? It's hard for me to believe that they would take their chances, given that we haven't had a TC tie since the Purple Rock of Doom in S4."Fester, is it possible the contestants know what method would be used to break ties at TC this season, and we don't?
I know I read something earlier in the season, a rules type thing for Survivor contestants, that discussed the tie breaking procedure that would be used. Kicking myself now for not remembering where I read it. Perhaps they go back to the old method of breaking ties?
If that was the case, and if the contestants know that in advance, a tie between Chad & Ami would result in an Ami boot, since Chad has 1 prior vote against him and Ami has 4.
Just a thought. Maybe the purple rock no longer exists?
Sylvester (just call me CAT)
I doubt they were told what method(s) would be used to break TC ties. The PROD has discussed among the players in seasons since S4, but I think it was all speculative. I also think Burnett likes that they have the PROD in the back of their minds, whether he intends to use it again, or not.Fester
Fester, I'm replying to you again, because I finally found what I wrote the other day in the middle of VS's editing thread, lol.Chad/Chris/Scout/Twila don't have to get a 5th person to get Ami out, all they have to do is split the women's vote. I too am struck by the clue about deciding to get rid of the most worthless person. I think it's a ruse, to keep Ami in the dark about her being the real target, and to try to get at least one of Julie/Leann/Ami to vote against Eliza. Then it's a 4-3-1 split vote, and Ami is toast. That vidcap of Scout winking at Chad just seems to back this up.
Here's what I wrote the other day:
I think Scout is perhaps the smartest survivor on Vanuatu, and that we just don't get too see much of her strategy. We have preview/promo proof of Scout hooking up with the men next week. Twila seems to be Scout's closest ally, and I've stated many times my belief that Scout/Twila/Chad/Chris are the new final 4 alliance.
What if Scout's speech to Julie & Twila & Leann, seen in night vision on the preview is the night of the RC when the other 4 are at reward in the village? There are no shots of the RC 4 at the same time, which seem to be the same night as the 'terrible storm'. What if Scout is setting up a ruse? Twila would be in on the ruse of course, but perhaps the plan is to make Leann & Julie believe that Eliza is the target?
Scout & Twila both know how ruthless Ami is when she feels threatened. They wouldn't want Ami to know she is the real target. Eliza would be the best possible ruse, as everyone in camp seems to be irritated by her. Perhaps they are trying to split the women's vote to ensure that their 4 Ami votes send Ami packing.
The worst that could happen is a tie, with 4 votes for Ami and four votes against whoever Ami & company choose to target. If the Eliza ruse worked, even with one person *cough*julie*cough*
voting Eliza, Ami is gone.
Sylvester (just call me CAT)
LAST EDITED ON 11-16-04 AT 05:31 PM (EST)I like this idea of a three person vote...4-3-1 to avoid a tie...
but will Twila be able to counted on to make this work??? Goes back to BR's (and my) feeling that Twila is always seen vacillating between options...Also Leann will def. tell Ami as soon as she returns from RC and Ami has protected Eliza since Ep. 2. She will continue to try to protect her and may do her work to oust Scout using LJE and Chris...or she will simply go with continuing to pagong the men going after Chad (or Chris if Chad wins II). Julie will, I think, stick with LAE, but what do I know...I'm always wrong
Now, Eliza jumping ship and going with CCST to oust Ami may be more likely (see Fester's post above)once she realizes she's on thechoppingauction block ....
Handcrafted by RollDdiceet change J to E and add more stuff about Eliza
Emydi, I don't really see Twila as a vaccilator. I see her as someone who is completely focused on winning the money, and carefully weighing out the moves necessary to make that happen.In the Rory boot episode, Twila really didn't vacillate. She told the men she wanted to vote for Rory, they just didn't listen to her. She had also convinced herself that the men were backstabbing her by promising Julie Final 4 also.
Last episode, I saw her apologizing to Sarge and feeling guilty for believing Julie and voting against the men, but I didn't see vaccilation. Sarge was going to get booted with or without her, and she was protecting herself by going with the group.
If Twila sees her chances of winning as being better with Scout/Chad/Chris, and I think she will since she is still saying she didn't feel as comfortable with the women, she will go with them. Plus, having Scout in the group almost assures that it's a 3 way fight for IC instead of 4.
Twila doesn't fit in with Ami, Leann, Julie & Eliza, I think she would see herself as 6th place with the women. She's gonna make her move with Scout.
Sylvester (just call me CAT)
I agree, but not this week, next week. I see her as F5 or F4 bootee though...after last week's TC speech by Sarge..she is in a precarious position and can be "used" by the different factions until she is not needed any longer...imho
Courtesy of the Amazing Slice & Dice Chop Shop 2004
LAST EDITED ON 11-16-04 AT 03:24 PM (EST)I speculated earlier that if the Eyemail showed Scout that I thought that Scout would be in serious trouble...I just have a suspicion that Ami will get wind that Scout is plotting against her and will turn the tables on her.
You know, something about the retracted family visit spoiler has been bothering me. The last we were told is that Lea's son, Scout's companion, and Eliza's boyfriend definitely did not go to Vanuatu.
Now there are hints that one of Eliza's parents did go to Vanuatu. And we know why Sarge's son didn't go; Sarge got voted out before the loved one visit.
So what about Scout? Would anyone other than her companion go for the visit? She's been with this woman 20 years. I don't believe they have any children, correct? I just can't imagine who besides her companion would make the trip.
So should we maybe reconsider this as a clue that Scout could get voted out before the family visit?
Although I'd have to say that's Scout's story doesn't seem at all about to terminate yet. Ugh, this is a tough week.
Bridge for sale to highest bidder. Call 1-800-BRroach.
"So what about Scout? Would anyone other than her companion go for the visit? She's been with this woman 20 years. I don't believe they have any children, correct? I just can't imagine who besides her companion would make the trip."BR, I think Scout has a sister. She mentions in her application video that her Dad wanted a boy, but ended up getting 2 girls.
Maybe even a twin sister?
Sylvester (just call me CAT)
and they will switch and Scout will go home and her twin will finish the game.. that is Rupert's big surprise
Handcrafted by RollDdiceThinking FP/Scar should do this on Survivor!!!
Doesn't Scout have a ton of animals on her ranch? Maybe one of them will fly over.
Okay everybody, let's stop invoking the name of R----t now. Please. PLEASE.
cat, where is this on Fever? And do they have all the old EyeMails saved?It seems to me we didn't start seeing EyeMails until Ep 4 or 5. Also, I can't find one for Ep 7, when John K got the boot. Does anyone remember seeing that one, and was John K featured?
Bridge for sale to highest bidder. Call 1-800-BRroach.
Unfortunately I do not have all of them, I had posted a lot of them throughout the season for emydi but here is a listEp. 1
Ep. 4
Ep. 5
Ep 6
Ep 7
Ep 8
Ep 9
Thanks, VS.So Brady, Travis, Rory and Sarge were all highlighted in their boot episode. John K was in a group shot in his boot episode.
Scout, Twila and Lisa and Eliza have all appeared in multiple shots, either highlighted or in a group. Leann is completely absent so far. Ami is highlighted for the first time this week.
I don't know about reading anything into these. For the most part the EyeMail photos illustrate the storyline that CBS is pushing in the accompanying press release and the previews. This week it's that Scout is making a move and Ami is worried, so those two are pictured.
But I don't think it necessarily means one of them will be booted, there could still be a surprise turn of events.
Bridge for sale to highest bidder. Call 1-800-BRroach.
VS, the one you have labeled as E1 is actually E2I don't think the EyeMails mean anything in terms of who is pictured.
The teasers, on the other hand, can be helpful in narrowing down the narrative for the episode.Here are the missing ones.
E1
E3
BR, Fever puts them all on the Episode Titles and Details page.
Here's the address:http://www.survivorfever.net/episode_title_details.html
They only have the last several posted, and they have most of the press releases on that page also.
VS has posted all the ones that I can remember this season. I think they might have missed a few weeks sending them out.
The only one we have that doesn't show the bootee (besides Ep. 1) that episode is the Ep. 6 eyemail where Lisa was booted. It did feature her prominently on the previous week's though.
I find it interesting that Twila and Chris were prominently featured in the first eyemail. Hmmmmmmmm.
Sylvester (just call me CAT)
The first eyemal was actually Ep. 2 not 1. Remember the maggots in the food occurred when Dolly cried and she was also booted that week.Oh and for a theory, I don't think it can be used to show the boot..only who will be featured as BR says above..so I have a theory named after me that doesn't always hold true!! IN YOUR FACE, SUCKAHS
Courtesy of the Amazing Slice & Dice Chop Shop 2004
emydi I adore your theory
"Oh and for a theory, I don't think it can be used to show the boot..only who will be featured as BR says above..so I have a theory named after me that doesn't always hold true!!"Emydi, I think eyemail is a useful tool in picking the bootee.
Does it 100% everytime feature the boot? No. In the 7 eyemails we have here though it pictures the bootee 5 times. 5 out of 7 is nothing to sneer at.After all, CBS has to feature the bootee in the episode to set the boot scenario. Shakes is building a theory based on it, this is really part of that same theory, just in a concise, visual way.
You don't suck Emy, neither does the theory.
Sylvester (just call me CAT)
Well, thank you CAT, you are sweet
Handcrafted by RollDdice
MB usually has at least 1 or 2 people each season that he will "redeem" as part of their story line. We haven't really seen that happen yet this season. I'm thinking that Ami's story is a prime candidate to hit the redemption arc, but I don't think it will happen this week.HOWEVER, if the eyemail is accurately portraying the level of Ami's distrust, MB may focus on her vulnerability and redeem her by showing us her softer side. If that happens, she's toast.
I think that Scout might be in trouble and Ami leads the charge to get rid of her this week. We will get shots of Ami whining about the "trust issues" and thus starting the redemption. Next week, teh tribe turns on Ami and we really see her vulnerabilty and start to pull for her. She becomes the underdog and saves herself by winning immunity. At this point, the casual viewer is now pulling for Ami, she has been redeemed and she gets canned the following week.
i have crazy ideas all the time. this is just one of the many...