After episode 10, we see the following alliances in place:1) Rob has a very tight alliance with Amber. Maybe the closest 2 person alliance ever on the show. He took what could have been a foolish risk to try and save her after the episode 9 immunity challenge. He also seems to have a final 3 alliance with Amber and Big Tom (at least that is what Amber seemed to indicate when she switched tribes). He has a final 4 alliance with Amber, Rupert and Jenna. He favored Rupert and Jenna over Kathy and Lex when Amber suggested otherwise
2) Amber (see Rob above) She also seemed to have developed a friendship with Jenna, but was advocating Jenna's boot last week to Rob.
3) Rupert has a tight alliance with Jenna. He seems to think he has a final 4 alliance with Jenna, Amber and Rob. He seems to have developed a nice friendship with Tom and may be looking at Tom as a final 3 partner with Jenna and himself.
4) Jenna has a tight alliance with Rupert. Was really rooting hard for a Rupert win in the challenge. She seems to think she has a final 4 alliance with Rupert, Amber and Rob. She seems to have developed a nice friendship with Amber.
5) Tom seems to be thought of as the third man in the Rob-Amber alliance. He also may be thought of as the thirs man in the Jenna-Rupert alliance. Ledx thought he would be the third man in his alliance once the merge took place, but he was sadly mistaken.
6) Alicia has a handshake agreement with Rob to not vote against each other (after last night we know how much Rob's promises are worth). No one else is talking about Alicia as a part of theie alliance. That can't be good for her. Althoug if she gets lucky like Sandra and offers her vote to whoever wants it, it can work in her favor
7) Shi Ann was allied with Lex and Kathy, but that was a weak alliance. Kathy and Lex were talking about joining upo with others and not including SA. She voted against last week and doesn't seem to have any alliances right now.
8) Kathys has Lex as her partner and he is gone. Several weeks ago she thought the old Chapera would open her with open arms after the merge. She was wrong. she seemed to have turned on SA last week and has no alliances.
Does anyone see any other alliances outh there?
If this is the case, I gotta believe things are looking good for Rob-Amber. All they have to do is keep Tom believeing he is their third and Jenna/Rupert believeing they are their 3rd and 4th for the next 9 days. Then they need to stick with with Tom to get rid of Rupert and Jenna and have Rob beat Big Tom in the final IC