1) The Heroes never had a leader. We have seen tribe after tribe fall to that same ailment. 2) The Heroes voted out their two smartest strategical players in Tom and Cirie early.
3) If the theme to this season was "What did you learn?", then I would say we are learning that those who changed their games have failed while those who have played the same game are succeeding.
Tom didn't want to be the leader in Palau, and even after he rode that to a win there, he refused to try it again this time around. He and the Heroes suffered from that decision.
Cirie also changed her game by trying to take forceful control of the game instead of working in the shadows like previous seasons. With too many enemies around her, Cirie stuck her neck out, and her enemies took her head.
JT played such a good game in Tocantins that even the opposing alliance wanted him to win. Still, he decided to change his game, was overaggressive, and lost everyone's trust in the process.
Meanwhile, Russell, Parvati, Danielle and Sandra have played close to the exact games they played before, and they are doing well. Candice may likely be the last Hero standing, and that would be mostly thanks to a mutiny once again. Smarter for her this time, she waited until after the merge to jump ship.
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Very nice analysis Iltarion.I'd just argue that Cirie did try to stay in the shadows but her reputation kept her out of it. At first, the alliance had Tom, Colby and Steph on one side, Amanda, Rupert and James on the other. While JT was flip-flopping, Cirie was sitting quietly in between both sides and, with luck, could have come out on top.
As for the villains, I'd say Russell changed somewhat, going from eliminating all the women to aligning with all of them.
Parvati didn't align with the cute dumb guy but the ugly smart one.
Danielle has been the one keeping the alliance on track which was one of Shane's roles in Casaya. There, Danielle was more of a rebel, going after Bobdawg, protecting Bruce, talking with Terry and Austin.