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Original Message
"TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"

Posted by Jims03 on 05-14-14 at 11:06 PM
LAST EDITED ON 05-15-14 AT 07:57 PM (EST)

On the Bubble

Those poor Afghanimals just never can get into the finals. The Final 4 always seems to be a leg that something happens to them. I've never been the biggest Afghanimals fan, but I gotta say I was bummed to see them go. They would've made for an entertaining finale.

Week 11 Results
1st place - Dave/Connor (2x)
2nd place - Caroline/Jennifer (1.3x)
3rd place - Brendon/Rachel (.7x)
4th place - Leo/Jamal (0x)

Jockeying for Position

The penultimate week has always been one of my favorites, mostly because it is that final jockeying for position. Whoever is atop the leaderboard basically gets to make whatever pick they want in the finale, and let's everyone else worry about finding an edge. So you start seeing a lot of different Hail Mary bets and stuff like that. Scores were very good overall, with a lot of Dave/Connor bets. The correct answer to the bonus was "all inconsistent" which was a fairly popular pick as well.

We did lose one final player going into the finale: taffnic. Putting all those chips on Leo/Jamal was a really nice hedge, considering all of the Dave/Connor bets, but unfortunately them getting lost sealed taffnic's fate. Thanks for playing!

This week's Greatest Gainer Award goes to pepperz, who climbed 4 ranks this week into the Top 10. Very nicely done.

The Perfect Bet Award also goes to pepperz, whose correct bonus wager netted an absurdly-great 7.2x payout. Now, that's what we call a comeback.

Leaderboard
1. michiganlargefan - 6446
2. Georganna - 5496
3. flipxcyd01 - 4030
4. Yogi - 3928
5. IanQuentin - 3163
6. louislam - 2257
7. Jims03 - 2000
8. Ontheroadagain1 - 2000
9. coldbrewer - 1876
10. pepperz - 1656
11. Chiubakka - 650
12. Molaholic - 500
13. sarah12345 - 470
14. bbenz - 246
15. starshine - 192
16. taffnic - 0

michiganlargefan has retaken the top spot, thanks to a nice bonus wager. However, the difference between 1st and 2nd is still (relatively) small, so there's still plenty of ways anyone farther down the list to play as spoiler.

Finale Rules

We are now in the finale leg, so I should go over a couple of the slight rule changes that applies to the finale.

1. The overall team rankings (and payouts) will be based on the finish order at the Finish Line of The Amazing Race. We only have a 1-hour finale this year, so this rule seems self-explanatory, but it's worth saying, I guess.

2. The final week is No Limit on your regular wager. Feel free to wager as many of your points as you wish on the regular game. There is a bet limit on the bonus game, however.

3. There are no ignore teams. As mentioned in last week's thread, that stuff is officially over. Gotta bet this one with no hedging. :p

4. You are allowed to make your finale wager in secret if you so desire, by sending me a private message. If you want to keep opponents guessing, it might not be a bad idea.

I'm gonna make my final picks on Saturday night, so if you're worried about me and my 2000 pts peeking, wait for the usual Sunday rush.

Finale Payout Table
1st place - 2x
2nd place - Break even
3rd place - 0x

Max Individual Bet - NO LIMIT

A Final 3 is so retro. Feels like I'm hosting the TAR5 Casino Game again.

Bonus Game - Million Million Million

And, as always, the final week's bonus game is the one where we guess which team will say the word "million" first in the episode. variations of the word will count, such as "millions", "millionaires", or "i'manoldmanwhodeservedamilliondollars". All we're looking for is M-I-L-L-I-O-N to be spoken by them.

The recaps don't count as part of the episode, and if none of the teams ever say it (it has happened once before), then no answer is correct and all bonus wagers score 0x.

Million Payout Table
Correct Answer - 3x
Incorrect Answer - 0x

Max Bet - 1300 points

1300 points is an oddly specific number, but that's what I settled on. Figuring out what a "fair" bonus game value would be in the final week is always difficult. I'm setting it at 1300 points because a correct guess would net +2600, which is about a 40% of the leader's point total. I thought about doing it at 33%, but with only 3 teams left, it didn't seem to leave enough wiggle-room for upward navigation. And putting it at 50% seems a little too much of a winner-takes-all crap-fest. Hopefully this is a happy medium.

TAR24 Teams Remaining
Brendon/Rachel
Caroline/Jennifer
Dave/Connor

Good luck!


Table of contents

Messages in this discussion
"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by Jims03 on 05-14-14 at 11:07 PM
LAST EDITED ON 05-15-14 AT 12:55 PM (EST)

Oh great, even Ontheroadagain is tied with me...

I'm making an initial wager early and will probably change this later. MINDGAMES.

700 points - Brendon/Rachel

Bonus
1300 points - Caroline/Jennifer


"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by Ontheroadagain1 on 05-16-14 at 04:09 PM
That is so sad.
I was hoping to pass you.

"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by michiganlargefan on 05-15-14 at 00:18 AM
LAST EDITED ON 05-15-14 AT 00:19 AM (EST)

I would bet on the bonus, but if things pan out in a certain way then there could be some TAR Casino history made (a TIE) and who wouldn't love that.
So without further ado

6446 on Dave/Connor

Why I think it could be a tie...

6446*2=12892
(1300*3)+(4496*2)=12892

Oh, and I'm male.


"Ah! A sporting and gentle-man!"
Posted by Georganna on 05-16-14 at 04:29 PM
LAST EDITED ON 05-19-14 AT 01:47 AM (EST)

To capitulate


I would bet on the bonus, but if things pan out in a certain way then
there could be some TAR Casino history made (a TIE) and who wouldn't
love that.
~ michiganlargefan

Well, I certainly would. Have loved that ...

But it's been great fun to play with you,
and with everyone here, this Season.

And I sincerely hope that our good host
will open the Casino's doors once again this fall.



"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by Molaholic on 05-15-14 at 10:55 AM
LAST EDITED ON 05-18-14 AT 07:59 PM (EST)

OK -- just making sure I don't forget to post.

499 jims (just so i don't bust out totally) on

(and I hate to say it)

BRENCHEL

A just under the wire change to DAVE/CONNER (keeping the 499)


Once more -- thanks for all the fun!


"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by coldbrewer on 05-15-14 at 01:39 PM
LAST EDITED ON 05-15-14 AT 05:28 PM (EST)

1876 Caroline/Jennifer

PASS on the bonus.



thanks Agman!


"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by Georganna on 05-16-14 at 03:36 PM
Beginning ~ 5496

REGULAR ~
Connor and Dave ~ 4196


BONUS
Connor and Dave ~ 1300


"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by flipxcyd01 on 05-17-14 at 04:28 PM
2730 Dave/Connor

1300 "Million" points on Brenchel


"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by louislam on 05-18-14 at 07:52 AM
1757 on Dave/Connor
300 on Caroline/Jennifer

Bonus Game
200 on Dave/Connor


The Amazing Race Fan from Hong Kong!


"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by IanQuentin on 05-18-14 at 01:15 PM

Pretty sure Dave/Connor are winning the Amazing Race. But betting on them won't give me a chnce to win at this casino.

So instead, going a bit off the board here.

1863 on Brendon/Rachel

1300 on Dave saying Million first.


"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by Ontheroadagain1 on 05-18-14 at 03:57 PM
8. Ontheroadagain1 - 2000

Pretty sure I don't have a chance in hell of winning, so let's just mess with Jims.

1000 on Dave/Connor


Million bonus
1000 on Brendon/Rachel


"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by starshine on 05-18-14 at 05:02 PM
All in on the Brenchel please Jims

"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by Chiubakka on 05-18-14 at 06:39 PM
Chiubakka 650 pts

400 on Dave/Connor

200 on Brendon/Rachel

Bonus:

50 on Brendon/Rachel


"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by Yogi on 05-18-14 at 07:00 PM
Well another fun season at Jims Casino. Thanks for keeping the game running.

Caroline/Jennifer x 3928

Can't catch the leader so not cheering for Dave/Connor to win is a relief.



"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by bbenz on 05-18-14 at 07:27 PM
246 to start

26 on Dave & Connor for the win

220 on Brendon & Rachel to say "million"


"RE: TAR24 Casino Game - Finale Entry!"
Posted by sarah12345 on 05-18-14 at 07:50 PM
LAST EDITED ON 05-18-14 AT 07:52 PM (EST)

70 points Dave/Connor

400 points on bonus Dave/Connor

Thanks for hosting! Even though the All-Stars season has left me less than excited about watching, I still always enjoy the Casino! I hope to see it again next season, if not here, then some other, not so sketchy message board!