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Thread Number: 1510
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Original Message
"Pick the winner"
Posted by jbug on 09-11-09 at 02:29 PM
Whether you voted or not,Choose who you think will win - in any of the possible combinations.
and / or who you want to win.
Kevin vs Jordon
Kevin vs Natalie
Jordon vs Natalie
Table of contents
- RE: Pick the winner,jbug, 02:31 PM, 09-11-09
- RE: Pick the winner,vince3, 03:49 PM, 09-11-09
- RE: Pick the winner,IceCat, 11:07 PM, 09-11-09
- RE: Pick the winner,zazzy, 06:43 PM, 09-13-09
Messages in this discussion
"RE: Pick the winner"
Posted by jbug on 09-11-09 at 02:31 PM
Kevin vs Jordon
I think Kevin would get this one.
Kevin vs Natalie
Kevin again.
Jordon vs Natalie
Jordon. So this to me is Jordon's only chance.
"RE: Pick the winner"
Posted by vince3 on 09-11-09 at 03:49 PM
Kevin/Jordan: I think the winner here might be the one who gets carried, since Natalie would be bitter majorly..... which could break down something like: Jessie/Lydia/Russell for Kevin, Jeff/Michele/America for Jordan, and Natalie for the one who didn't stab her...... or it could be that whoever takes the other will win 5-2 or 6-1, because the entire jury will celebrate Natalie's demise and vote for the one who eliminated her, except America who would vote for Jordan and Natalie for the one who didn't stab her....... That one would be 5-2 Kevin and 6-1 Jordan, probably.....
Kevin/Natalie: This one will depend on how bitter the jury is at Natalie, especially about the age lie, which I hope the first Juror asks Natalie about so that Jordan would immediately get clued in about it....... If they're VERY bitter, she's toast, if not, she could win on gameplay, since she was the mastermind in their plans, even if Kevin had to be the one to get his hands dirty for Jessie, Jeff, and Jordan...... It depends, though..... Kevin's probably guaranteed Lydia, Michele, and America's vote in that scenario.....
Natalie/Jordan: Jeff, Lydia, Michele, and America, I think are probably all in Jordan's back pocket for that scenario...... which is already enough, not counting Jessie, Russell and Kevin..... This one could easily be a 7-0 Jordan sweep.
"RE: Pick the winner"
Posted by IceCat on 09-11-09 at 11:07 PM
Kevin vs Jordon: KEVIN
This is the only close call. The votes break down as follows:If Jordon boots Natalie:
Jordon: Jeff (100%), Michele (100%), America (85%)
Kevin: Lydia (100%), Natalie (100%), Jesse (85%)
Swing: Russel (50%)
If Kevin boots Natalie:
Jordon: Jeff (100%), Michele (100%), America (70%)
Kevin: Lydia (100%), Jessie (100%), Russel (90%)
Swing: Natalie (65% Kevin)
In the more likely scenario of a Kevin win in Round 3, Natalie is the tie breaker and it really comes down to her being a vindictive little bitch. If Kevin wins Round 3, Natalie would have to vote the same as Michele in order to exact her threatened revenge on Kevin. This will stick her craw more than the Kevin betrayal because it's pretty obvious Natalie's hatred for Michele borders on full-on psychological disorder. So if Kevin wins Round 3 and dumps Natalie, I still make her vote as a 65% for Kevin. If Jordon wins Round 3 and dumps Natalie then Natalie definitely goes to a 100% for Kevin. If Jordon wins Round 3, it might affect Russel's perception of her so I'd make him the tie-breaker and a toss up at 50%. The edge goes to KEVIN overall because a Kevin Round 3 win locks him in.
Kevin vs Natalie: KEVIN
Natalie simply cannot win with the jury now. Not only are the jury members PO'd about the age lie but they were also all in agreement that Nat is throwing competitions and they have, en masse, lost respect for her. When Michele shows her DVD at the jury house, they will see Nat win unconvincingly in a competiton based on pure guessing. Then they will see her go on to step down in Round 1 and crash & burn in Round 2. Kevin's competition wins were more numerous and more credible. Kevin wins in a 7 to 0 annihilation.
Jordon vs Natalie: JORDON
Natalie does not win with this jury (see above). Jordon beat her convincingly in Round 2 and Natalie choked bad, bad, bad. Then Jordon goes on to beat Kevin in Round 3 and displays excellent game sense to take out Kevin who is more popular with the jury. Natalie only gets Kevin's sympathy vote in a 6 to 1 landslide for Jordon.
"RE: Pick the winner"
Posted by zazzy on 09-13-09 at 06:43 PM
Want to winKevin vs Jordon--Anyone but Nat works for me.
Kevin vs Natalie--Kevin
Jordon vs Natalie--Jordan
Who I think will win
Kevin vs Jordon -- still a toss up
Kevin vs Natalie -- Kevin
Jordon vs Natalie -- Jordan