Predictions, make your predictions here.
Not sure if we need a new thread each week so lets try it all in this thread, and see how it goes.I dunno if we have the same bottom three one goes home format this year, but lets start with that.
Should Go
Thia
Scotty
Karen--Going HomeShe froze up, I love her voice, but boring, and not a good job this week. Thia is just the same every week, same with Scotty. I do kinda like the throwback country voice, but I already feel like I've seen every performance he is going to do.
Will Go
Haley
Ashthon--Going Home
Karen
Should goThia - gone
Ashton - not impressed by her
Paul - Just for that horrible song choice
Will goAshton - gone
Paul - again, did anyone know that song?
Naima - Don't think she'll last long
Should goKaren
Ashthon
Paul -- should go. I have no clue whatsoever what other people see or hear in him.Will go
Naima
Karen
Ashthon -- going home
LAST EDITED ON 03-10-11 AT 04:52 PM (EST)Should go:
Stefano
Naima
PaulWill go:
Ashthon
Stefano
Naimaedit to dump the siggie
Should goAshthon--boring
Paul-drunk
Stefano-awful!! SHOULD GO HOMEWill go
Haley
Karen
Ashthon-WILL GO
please check your red wavy
Should Go -Jacob - that was not good
Haley - I don't like the growly yodeling girl
Ashthon - I don't get the two h's and I don't get why she was saved last weekWill Go -
Karen - I like her and hope she stays
Stephano - meh
Ashthon with the two h's - Will Go - I hope
I think this is double-elimination, so I'll name four and pick two.Should:
Paul *
Naima *
Ashton
StefanoWill:
Naima *
Karen *
Stefano
Haley
Should go:
Naima
Ashton
ThiaWill go:
Ashton
Karen
Stefano
Should go:Ashton -- boot for the Generidiva
Paul -- what was that? And will he come out in an all green suit with a green top hat for St. Patrick's Day next week?
Karen -- it.did.not.work.
Will go:
Ashton --going going gone. Not enough fan base to make top 10, and going third of thirteen on the night, and singing a lesser known Diana Ross song not too well = boot. Competition has too many other singers with more talent this year.
Paul -- fan base that took him to top 10 saves him here.
Karen -- same as Paul. Fan base that got her to top ten saves her.
Should be in the Bottom 3:Ashthon -- just a generic diva performance.
Karen -- this was a trainwreck, unfortunately.
Paul -- as I've said, what was he thinking?Should go home:
Paul -- he was the worst.
Will be in the Bottom 3:
Ashthon,
Haley (Karen's Latino fan base will save her),
& Paul.Will be going home:
See ya later, Ashthon. The others have bigger fan bases than you.
Should go:Ashton - definitely should be out.
Karen
HaleyWill go:
Ashton - gone!
Stefano
Paul - America isn't going to get you
Just noticed I did Top 12 instead of Top 13, gah!!!!Should go
Paul (love your insanity, but not your singing)
Thia (tired of the Disney Princess)
Karen (nerves are getting to you)--Going HomeWill go
Karen--going home
Hayley
Jacob
Should goThia - Want to sleep every time she sings(should be gone but won't)
Naima - Not impressed - between her and Karen to go
Karen - Not real goodWill go
Naima - It's between her and Karen (gone)
Karen - Really not sure which will go
Jacob - I think he's good but I think he's losing fans.
Gahhhh - Can we just send them all home and start over?!I hated last night, I usually hate this night but thought since most were so young that it wouldn't be too horrible. I was wrong.
Should and Will -
Karen - going
Haley
Casey (I don't think he will, but he should be in the bottom 3 - that was just wrong.)
Should goStefano-should go
Haley
NaimaWill Go
Haley will go
Karen
Naima
LAST EDITED ON 03-17-11 AT 11:38 AM (EST)For this week (3/17/11) should goes:
Naima-sorry girl, there weren't more than 5 or so notes on pitch. It was a train wreck!
Haley-what WAS that?? It felt like part disco/part ballad/part pop rolled into one. And I KNOW I didn't sleep through that year, so whatever....
Jacob-I know, I know, I'm in the minority here, but he just does not do anything for me. It's the same old same old each and every time. Yes, he sings well, but so do most of these contestants (male, anyway), and I just feel like he's in a box and can't pull himself out....
Will go:
Hopefully Haley.
ETA: to correct a name that I had wrong...
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Wholeheartedly agree about Jacob. In every song he does the notes are overemphasized, the emotion is over the top, and the shimmery lip gloss is distracting.
Should:Karen - out!
Paul
JacobWill:
Naima - out!
Karen
Paul
I was seriously underwhelmed by pretty much everyone last night! That being said...Should Go:
Naima - Should Go
Karen
HaleyWill Go:
Haley - Will Go
Karen
Naima
Honestly, the most entertaining part of the entire show for me was when the camera would cut to J Lo and she would be singing along and then immediately freeze with this serious looking face. I guess the producers have been telling her to stop mouthing the words while the contestants are performing. I noticed it most during Lauren's song. I replayed it at least 3 times. Too funny!
Should be in the Bottom 3:Naima -- very pitchy, as Randy would say.
Haley -- WHAT WERE YOU THINKING?!
Paul -- you were like a drunk wedding singer.Will be in the Bottom 3:
Naima,
Karen,
Haley.Should go home:
Paul -- he's the worst.
Will go home:
Naima -- and another alternate bites the dust.
Should?Karen, who I hope ups her game this week.
Haley, who I'm ambivalent about and wouldn't miss.
Paul, who I wish goes out this week!Will?
Naima, the third least votes, which incidentally puts in a trio of three gals on the bottom.
Karen, who may get enough of the Hispanic vote to stay alive for another week.
Haley, who was on the bubble last week and will go out this week.
Forgot about the will go should go...show just started so here goes:Will go:
Haley--boot
Karen
Naima
Should go:Paul--boot
Haley
Karen
Should Go.
Pia (boring ballads)
Thia (at least the did reset her speed this week)
Stefano (last week was just a fluke wasn't it)Pia going home. Bored now.
Will Go
Naima
Thia
Stefano--going home (to make the tour less sausage festy)
ShouldStefano Please go now, but please don't drink and drive...
Pia yaaaaawwwwwn
Thia what are the words to that song again?Will
Haley I think she leaves before Jersey Shore
Stefano
Thia
Should go:Paul
Stefano
Haley (out)Will go:
Thia
Stefano
Haley (out)
Should Go:
Stephano
Haley
PaulWill go (if we are true, blue-blooded Americans with any sense of musicality):
Stephano
or Haley
Should goStefano - Should be gone!
Naima - Just not crazy about her singing
Thia - About the same as Naima
Will goNaima - Gone
Thia - Could be the one to go, bottom two
Jacob - A major scare, would be saved if by same chance he goes. This spot could and should be Stefano.
Should go:
Haley
Stefano - should go
PiaWill Go:
Haley - will go
Stefano
Thia
Should be in the Bottom 3:Haley (not a good performance),
Casey (still a little screamy),
& Paul (the worst contestant).Will be in the Bottom 3:
Casey,
Naima
& ThiaShould be going home:
Paul.
Will be going home:
Casey in a shocker!
*applauds*You're not the only person on the Internet who saw this one coming, but you don't exactly have a lot of company.
On Reality TV World, maybe not. But I'm on Idolforums as well, and there was a twitter from Nigel which said that there would be a shocking result. Among the possibilities that people on there suggested was that Casey would get the lowest amount of votes. I added other info I learned to that, and it made sense.
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Should go:Paul -- unless he sings softly, what is the appeal?
Thia-- she tried for AI too soon. Imagine her at 18, a bit more able to emote.
Will go:Stefano --goes first so he leads off the tour each night
Naima -- reggae Elton does not impress enough voters imo
Time for the wild cards to go, never had the fan base the rest had.
Other candidates for the b3 or b4 or b5 or b6 (what if Ryan brings up two groups of three and cuts one of the three in each group):Haley gets the pimp spot Hail Mary.
Paul had a fan base I don't understand that keeps him afloat until the other fodder has been whacked and then bye bye Paul.
I'm guessing that Thia has the Filipino support that young Filipino girls on AI enjoy.
Casey made the bottom 3 last week and may not have impressed enough to be saved by a fan base this week...but I lean towards a fan base-save fueled Hail Mary for Casey. There was a lot of early buzz on him.
Should go:Thia--I'm bored go home
Stefano--I'm bored go home
Pia--I'm bored, but maybe there is a small chance you'll do something interesting.Will go.
Paul--VFTW may just squeak out a save this week.
Thia--Pia does the ballad thing better
Naima--She's having too much fun to stay.
Should:Thia (going home)
Naima
Haley (going home)Will:
Thia (going home)
Naima (going home)
Haley
Should Go:Thia - The Bore Part I
Pia - The Bore Part IIWill Go
Thia
Stefanogeekboy
"I think what Randy Travis was trying to say was 'What the hell was that?!'" - S. Cowell
I think there will be a bottom 4 with 2 eliminations. They could do one at about 8:40 and then one at end of showShould go
Stefano Please go home now
Lauren enough of her
Thia
NaimaWill Go
Naima will go
Stefano will go hopefully but cd be thia
Thia
Paul
Should and Will -Thia
Stephanoand I won't be sorry to see them leave.
Should: Stefano and NaimaWill: Thia and Naima
Should: Paul and Stephano
Will: Naima and Thia
Should and go:Thia
Stefano
A Slice of Manga
Should go:Naima - deserves another week, but probably won't get it
Thia - swallowed by the stage
Paul - gets caught swallowingWill go:
Stefano - might actually survive this week
Naima - good run, but I think her luck ran out last night
Thia - disappears in pixie dust
Should goThia - Fall half asleep when she sings - gone
Stefano - Can't sing at all - gone
Naima - She doesn't have the talentIf there is a 4th bottom it's Paul
Will go
Thia - Gone
Paul - Gone
Naima - Barely survivesIf there is a 4th bottom it's Stefano
Should be in the Bottom 3:Scotty -- way too predictable.
Naima -- reggae and "I'm Still Standing" doesn't work.
Paul -- worst by far.Will be in the Bottom 3:
Stefano -- not good enough to save himself from danger,
Naima
& Paul.Who should be going home:
Paul & Naima.
Who will be going home:
Adios, Paul and Naima, although Stefano could slip in there before Paul.
Should go:Tough call this week. I'll go with:
Stefano
Paul
LaurenWill go:
Stefano
Paul
Casey
Should go:With a 6/3 guy/gal ratio, it's time for a guy to go.
Jacob (he should be safe anyway)
Stefano
PaulWill go:
We may already be looking at three guys in the bottom third, vote-wise.
Jacob
Paul
Stefano (Ciao!)
ITA with your b3 and your will go.
For my should go: Paul
Should:Paul
Stefano
HaleyWill:
Jacob
Casey
Haley (out)Next week, tune in for a shocking Pia ouster.
Next week, tune in for a shocking Pia ouster.And Lauren the week after.
Then it'll be time to stir up some sauerkraut to go with all the sausages.
ShouldStefano SHOULD
Lauren
PiaWill
Haley will
Stefano
Jacob
For me it's an easy call as to who should and will be bottom 3. Tough call on who actually goes home.Should Go
Stefano - GONE
Paul - Next to go
Jacob - shouldn't go yet
Will GoStefano - I have a feeling sneaks through to torture my ears more
Paul - hmm, Paul or Jacob goes, I'll say Paul gone
Jacob - Going first and that ridiculous comment could mark the end
Should:Jacob
Paul
StefanoWill:
Jacob - gone!
Stefano
Pia - a shocker! But she'll be sent back to safety by Ryan.
If I were going to pick a shocker, it'd be Lauren! She didn't rate too well (even below Hayley) on many of the AI ratings sites due to her rather lackluster performance.
I had Lauren in my post and then changed it to Pia because I didn't think Lauren would be shocking enough!
Congratulations on your correct and prescient pick last week!
Should goLauren
Casey
Stefano please go now!Will go
Casey (or stefano)
Paul
Haley will go 6 for 6 continues
LAST EDITED ON 04-14-11 AT 11:56 AM (EST)Should go
Haley
Stefano
Paul OUT (good riddance!)Will go
Casey
Stefano
Paul OUT (don't be surprised, it's not a shocker)
Should Go
-------------
Jacob (Should be booted)
Paul
HaleyWill Go
--------
Paul (Will be booted)
Casey
Stefanogeekboy
"I think what Randy Travis was trying to say was 'What the hell was that?!'" - S. Cowell
Should go:Paul -boot
Stefano b2
Haley b3Will go:
Stefano --boot
Haley b2
Paul b3
Should goPaul - BOOT
Haley - b2
Jacob - b3Will go
Haley - BOOT because she's female, not because she's the worst
Paul - b2
Stefano - b3
Should & will be in the Bottom 3:Haley,
Casey
& Paul.Should & will go home:
Bye-bye, Paul. I won't miss you!
Should goStefano
Jacob
Hayley- GoneWill go-
Jacob
Paul
Casey-gone
Shoulds:
Stephano
Hailey
PaulWill:
Stephano
Hailey
Jacob with
drum roll.....Stepano gone FINALLY!! YEA!!
ShouldStefano - Gone
Paul - B2
Jacob - B3Will
Stefano - Gone
Paul - B2
Jacob - B3
Should GoScotty
Lauren A
Jacob-going homeAll getting scared and playing it safe.
Will Go
Stefano--going home
Hayley
Jacob
LAST EDITED ON 04-21-11 AT 09:24 AM (EST)I have a bad feeling today. I don't think America "gets" how good Casey is.
Should Go
-----------
Jacob - going home
Stefano
HaleyWill Go
------------
Stefano - bye-bye
Haley
Caseygeekboy
"I think what Randy Travis was trying to say was 'What the hell was that?!'" - S. Cowell
ShouldScotty
Lauren
Stefano-should goWill
Lauren Shocker wait for the faces
Haley
Stefano-will go
This could be a weird results show that turns out as expected, or an ordinary results show that pops out a weird result, one or the other.Should Go
Hayley - Should have been gone long ago, but also it should be a guy to go out next.
Jacob - Should follow Randy's advice and try to raise the roof next week
Stefano - Also should have been gone long ago, but is the classic wallflower that sticks around for just one more song.Will Go
Hayley - She'll pout when she hears in the bottom three, but she probably shouldn't be too worried.
Casey - His musical unpredictability is reflected in the unpredictability of America's votes.
Stefano - At last, long outstaying his welcome, he goes home.
Should go:Stefano
Jacob--go home!
LaurenWill Go
Stefano
Hayley
Jacob--Go Home!Jacob is truly a diva in the bad sense of the word. So self righteous and annoying. They always compare him to Luther but he doesn't sound at all like him. He sounds exactly like Antony Hegarty from Antony and the Johnsons. Wonder why no one has said so.
I really liked Hayley's performance last night. She did Adele justice. I hope she stays.
It's a Tribe!
Shoulds:
Scotty {shocker!! OH MY, will Ryan drag this one out!!}
Jacob
StephanoWill:
Stephano-he's been too close to the fire too many times. Time to let go and face it. "You're no good, you're no good, you're no good, baby, you're no gooooooooood".Hey, maybe Haley could do Linda Ronstand sometime??
Should goStefano - Gone - Should have been gone long ago
Jacob - B2 - Getting too predictable and boring
Scotty - B3 - This was between him and Lauren. I like both but we are getting down to it. My top are James and Casey followed by Haley,
Will goStefano - GONE - Finally and saving my ears
Jacob - B2 - Unless he changes it up will go next week
Casey - B3 - Should never be here but I worry about his fan base.
My top 6 are all still here! They are saving the season for me as the judges are so pathetic!
Should go:Stefano
Haley
JacobWill go:
Haley - b3
Jacob - b2
Stefano - good bye (finally!)Now that Paul's gone, that leaves two singers who make my ears bleed: Jacob and Stefano. As long as one of them goes tonight, I'll be happy.
Should be in the Bottom 3:Jacob -- too predictable and a bad attitude at times.
Scotty -- way too predictable!
Stefano -- weakest one left.Will be in the Bottom 3:
Haley -- there's no way Scotty will be here.
Jacob &
Stefano.Should and will go home:
Bye-bye, Stefano. I like you, but you're not good enough.
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Should Go, I'm going to assume a bottom three, but I don' t know if they will do that now we are getting so few.Jacob (Going Home, for that outfit alone)
Lauren
ScottyWill Go
Jacob (going home)
Hayley
Casey
Should goJacob - Solid but not as good as the top 5
Lauren - Shouldn't go yet
Scotty -Will go
Jacob - Gone
Casey - bottom 2 but safe
Haley - bottom 3 if they do it but safe
Should go:Jacob - gone
Lauren
ScottyWill go:
Scotty b3
Lauren b2
Jacob - gone
Should go:Hayley (at this point, in Lauren's league)
Lauren (better wake up to the fact that she's vulnerable)
Jacob (out)Will go:
Lauren (surprise!)
Casey (at the bat, but won't strike out yet)
Jacob (out without a doubt)
Should Go All of them after that drek last niteBut I'll play by the "rules" Smidge
Lauren should go
Jacob
JamesWill Go
Jacob Will go
Haley
Lauren
Should go:Jacob
Casey
LaurenWill go:
Haley
Casey
Jacob (out)Must go:
Randy
Steven
Nigel (now)
Very clever, as always!
Should and will be in the Bottom 3:Haley,
Jacob &
Casey.Should go home:
For this week alone, Casey. Overall, Jacob.
Will go home:
Adios, Jacob. You've been living on borrowed time.
Someone from California will go tonight, if someone goes. I had not thought about where everyone was from until now. One half of the remaining cast is from Cali.James, Jacob and Casey are all from Cali.
Haley's from Ill.; Scotty's from NC and Lauren's from GA.
There's speculation on the web about the bad weather/tornados last night in the south and how it may affect AI tonight. The devastation affected several states and many states had weather cut into prime time programming. Tons of power outages across several states, too.Theories include:
--Lauren getting less support and falling into the b3
--no one to be booted due to AI sympathy for the weather's impact and two go home next week with votes from this week and next week being combined. This theory is favored by people who think Lauren may go home because the southern voters likely did not have AI on their minds last night.
If AI is all systems go, then:
Should go:
Casey --boot
Jacob
LaurenWill go
Jacob --boot
Casey
Haley
I'm thinking a bottom 2 but it may be another "random" results showShould go
James-meh over the screeching
Lauren-go now
WillLauren I think they will put her "in danger" so she makes the top 3
Jacob-will go, I don't think VFTW can do it but I hope soAgain it was drek for me last nite. watched it in less than a 1/2 hour couldn't make it through 1 song. They are obviously pushing James Scotty Lauren top 3 I hope Haley spoils it and Lauren doesn't make it to her concert
Should:James (pitch problems)
Lauren (personality problems)
Jacob (presence problem)Will:
James (because in the three-way race with Lauren and Scotty, someone has to be in third place)
Haley (because people find reasons to hate)
Out: Jacob (because the purpose of singing as if honoring a deity is not making people root for the opposition)
I think we're at the point of the competition where people start voting for the overall season, as opposed to just "last nights performances". I think that is the case, and i'm basing my picks on that.Should go:
Lauren
Jacob (boot)Will go:
Haley
Jacob (boot)If they do a bottom three, I would group in Lauren, making Scotty and James safe.
geekboy
"I think what Randy Travis was trying to say was 'What the hell was that?!'" - S. Cowell
I'll ditto this list, even the bottom 3.
Currently on FunOffice Pools 85.5% of the people playing the pools have Jacob as going, I think the other 15% are those that always bet on at least two people to hedge their bet.Should Go
Lauren--go home already
James--really bad week and it should effect results.Will Go
Hayley--people will buy that no one should ever sing a song that hasn't been sung so many times there is nothing new to bring to it that hasn't already been done. Because everyone knows that no new songs are ever played on the radio (which may explain why they think songs from decades ago are relevant today)
Jacob--while desperation seems to bring out the entertaining in him, I don't think even these performances will save him from elimination this week.
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I used to be indecisive but now I'm not so sure.
Should goJacob - Should have been gone last week
Scotty - Really talented, I just don't really care for Country music much.
Will goJacob - I think he's gone for sure
Lauren - Between her and Haley for 3rd as I think James and Scotty are a lock for the final
Should:Lauren
Jacob
Boot: eitherWill:
Jacob --he is the agenda'd boot. Haley in the pimp spot, and James and Scotty in it to win it, and Lauren already having a F3 benefit concert appearance planned for her homecoming = it's gotta be Jacob. Plus, they put him second and had him sing out of his lane.
However, Siobhan got the boot at top 6 when she had the pimp spot last year so it *could* be Haley due to a weak fan base. I agree with Geekboys's observation that people are voting now for the season/winner and not just last night's performance.
Other B2 designee: Lauren, agree with Snidget that it will be to shake up her fan base.
Where do Casey fans go with their votes? 1) no one, no votes; 2) Haley, because Casey liked her, and they liked her HOTRS performance, or 3) Cougar voters split between James and Casey?
Who should be in the Bottom 2:Scotty -- just wasn't quite as good as the others for me.
Jacob -- the worst by far.
Who will be in the Bottom 2:
Lauren -- she's splitting country votes with Scotty and even if she isn't really the Bottom 2, she'll be put there to shake up her fan base.
Jacob -- he's been circling down the drain for some time now.
Should and will go home: Bye-bye, Jacob.
Should go.James--going home.
LaurenCan't sing on tune vs can't consistently control the nerves when she performs.
Will Go
Crying vs Fighting Back.
Haley--going home.
LaurenUnfortunately I think Haley may be going home. I think Lauren may get more sympathy vote, but I hope I'm wrong.
Funny how the girl who sings the songs that mean something to her doesn't know who she is???
Usually they get props for taking risks with songs that aren't quite a well known and done to death, but not this year. Only sing what everyone else has sung to death. Yikes.
Should goLauren - To me it's clear, she should go home
Scotty - Would not mind if he went but it's not happening.
Will goHaley - No way she should but I have a bad feeling she goes.
Lauren - Still not quite sure between the two who will but I certainly know who should.I really don't know why the show wants Haley off but I think they get there wish, unfortunately!
ShouldLauren should go
Scotty yawnWill
Haley will go they didn't even try to be fair last nite
Lauren
Should & Will:Haley - good comeback so far, but not in the guys' league
Lauren - out, too predictable and not confidentOn the will go, it's a coin flip between these two.
Should go:Lauren
Will go:
Haley
Agree.
Should:Scotty (unless he plans on running for president on a Tea Party platform this year)
Lauren (she's his running mate)Will:
Haley (because given what happened last night with the judges, the producers will happily give all her votes to Lauren and then claim The Biggest One-Week Drop Ever just to stay on agenda)
Again: the power does not lie with those who cast the votes, but with those who count them. And I don't believe in honest counts any more.
LAST EDITED ON 05-12-11 AT 02:24 PM (EST)I would have believed the above, until Kris won over Adam Lambert. Then I knew it had to be America deciding the vote-that one was a shocker for me.
This time? I think Haley, as much as I didn't care for her, has ridden the dark horse out of the forrest, up to the light, and has had her day with the voters.
She's taken the most risks, song her buns off, and has come out of this undeniably the one to watch! I think she'll be in the top 3 with Scott and James.
So, in saying that, Lauren will cry her way all the way back to the south tonight. Yes, she'll go home alright, but not in a personal jet, with a limo and thousands of fans greeting her.
Just mamma and daddy eating peanuts and pretzels on Soutwest in coach, because that's where she'll allowed herself to falter.
Should and will be in the Bottom 2:Lauren & Scotty. They'll split the country votes and Haley's fans will vote like crazy after Randy and Jennifer slamed her first song.
Should go home:
Scotty. He's coasting and that's not so great.
Will go home:
Adios, Lauren. You'll get the short end of the country vote stick, unfortunately.
Should LaurenWill Haley
Should: Lauren.Will: Lauren. (Hope is the thing with feathers that gets them pulled out by cruel country backers.)
Must: Iovine.
Should: LaurenWill: Lauren
Should go: LaurenWill go: Lauren
Mediocrity can't hide indefinitely.
Should go - LaurenWill go - Lauren
I may be with others in that if Haley goes I may not watch the final.