LAST EDITED ON 11-19-08 AT 01:52 PM (EST)

The only spoiler FP and the rest of you'll need Thursday nite

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OaKQH2PgcYo

As you can see from above, I will have a viewing conflict come Thursday night. I'll have to watch Survivor on DVR during half time...Maybe my Steelers will be so far ahead of the Bengals in first 10 minutes, I'll be able to watch sooner!!

We have a lot of new posters !! Great!! Welcome all!! Go here if you need or would like to read our board's
guidelines.

The Title of Episode 10 Nothing Tastes better than $500 was brought to us by my Co-Steelers fan vince 3!!

I originally thought this was Randy's quote but we know now he spent all of his money at the Auction and gave away cookies...even to Crystal

In his Preview of Ep. 10 brought to us by the lovely VG at Survivor Phoenix along with all the other videos of all the promos, Jiffy says:

We also have the survivor auction. And there is a great moment, a GREAT moment with Randy, that only Randy could provide us, and it just shows us that you can't predict human nature and you can't change who you are because in the middle of a game for a million dollars, Randy doesn't seem to care about who he offends.

Randy in confessional: "I left the auction broke, full, half drunk, and pissed off..."

Cut to Randy talking to Matty at Camp: "I gotta little room left for one big cookie..."

Cut back to him in confessional, right before he dives naked into the pond: "...so, I'm gonna burn this house down!"

I think the title may be from Crystal even after Randy gave her a cookie, she calls him a troll again.

From Jiffy's Blog from ep. 9 he states:

Next time on...Survivor. One of the best episodes of the season. No hype. Pure truth.

So we know this will be the most spacktabulous most wonderful most mind boggling episode EVAH!!!

And the all encompassing ever present Good vs. Evil theme will continue

But what's up with CBS if this the best ep. ever? We didn't even get our normal CBmiSdirection clues...all we got was a stinking Press release

THE SURVIVOR AUCTION IGNITES AN EXISTING RIVALRY, PROMPTING A HEATED ARGUMENT THAT PUTS THE WHOLE TRIBE ON EDGE, ON "SURVIVOR: GABON — EARTH'S LAST EDEN"

One Castaway devises a dangerous plan that hinges on the hidden immunity idol, while another Castaway considers betraying their alliance in order to avoid elimination.

Well we know the Auction shenanigans are Randy's and the existing rivalry is with Crystal.

The Castaway with the dangerous plan with the hidden immunity idol is Randy

The Voiceover for the 20 second promo...

Randy: I'm gonna burn this house down...
Announcer: One Castaway is going for broke...(picture of Randy)
Jiffy: As Matty scurries across the balance beam in the IC,
"Matty doesn't hesitate"
Announcer: Randy is shown, "insulting everyone", then shot to Matty and then to Sugar...
Sugar: "I loathe him"
Then shot of Fake II...
Announceer: "But with a fake Immunity Idol in play",
Randy: "if Bob would give me the idol"
Announcer: Will his strategy work at Tribal Council?
Randy: "There is gonna be some surprised people tonight", then shot of Corrine, Susie, Matty

We know that Bob shows Randy the idol he made last week because here are Randy's grubby fingers...

And that is the wrappted up fake HI in the package here where Randy says people are going to be surprised tonite.

The question is does Randy know its fake and what is he gonna do with it?

We know from pics going to TC that Randy does not win the II (neither does Susie, Corrine, Matty or Crystal)

But this pic shows him with a necklace on

But I think it's not fake HI, rather it's the necklace he got from last week's reward (with blue in it like Corrine's)

I think Bob wins the II for 2 reasons. Even though the shots of the IC show MATTY way ahead here:

We know Matty does not win from the walk to TC pics. The only three that are not shown are Sugar Bob and Kenny. Likely this is the classic F8 IC where the course is divided into 3 parts. Matty is just far ahead in the first section where 4 go on and the final 2 do a puzzle. We know Kenny and Bob are good at puzzles.

But why would Bob feel so comfortable in giving his fake idol up if he didn't feel safe from boot...Also I love this "cat ate the canary" look on Bob's face here.

I do indeed think that Randy knows it is fake because there is no need for Bob to trick Randy to get him out. If he goes along with Uthong it's a 6-2 vote against Randy. I think Bob is loyal and is trying to help save the other onions.

So what is the plan...we know that Corrine is in on it because she says in the show promo

Corinne (in confessional): We have to get this right. If we get this right the whole game will change.

But what is the plan and will it work at all, just to save Randy, to save all 3 onions?

We know Randy is working on Matty from the promo

Randy (talking to Matty): You're on the outs. The final three in this game is Kenny, Crystal and Susie. You're not part of it.

This is smart of Randy because Matty has to start to play for end game and Susie is closer with Crystal and Kenny from their time at NunuKotex.

Who does Matty want to go to F3 or F2 with ?

Side NOTE: I still think with schedule it will be a F2 like Fans v. Faves--these people would have seen the finale in May before leaving for Africa in June but they keep talking about F3 (well Susie anyway)

Sugar and Bob? I don't see why he would because the Onions on the jury will vote for Bob...also Sugar could get a few votes for being nice

Randy and/or Corrine--again Kotas will vote but if they are both there then they might split the Onion vote

Crystal and Kenny (or Susie)--imho this is best scenario because Matty is most desirable of this bunch.

So Randy gets into Matty's head or at least he tries to.

This could be MISDIRECTION as many of us think from dabo's voted thread and Matty sticks with CSSK until F7 when many people think it will be more beneficial for him to flip becuase of the numbers.

By the way DON'T forget to vote....we need a bit more splintering

Could Bob be working on Sugar to flip too? We see a meeting between them in Jiffy's preview

FP thinks this may be right before TC because it looks as if Bob is putting on his bow tie...I'm not sure but they do meet anyway.

Would Sugar help, for now anyway, a person she LOATHES?

It really depends on who she talks to last and if FP is right, she just may

So who are the boot possibilities? I think from pure old fashioned OFG theory it's one of these 4 from Randy's Surprise comment

Corrine

Susie

Matty

Randy

I don't think it's Kenny...

As new poster yucca points out, the night shots are usually at the beginning of the show right after they return from TC. Perhaps Crystal is worried about the Charlie boot before Randy or Corrine and he calms her by saying this. I don't think this conversation takes place after IC when Kenny could be a possible boot. I think it's classic misdirection.

I think Crystal is misdirection too..Randy would be smart to let Matty pick who he wants to boot.

Sugar has the HI and is not going anywhere. I think Bob has II and is not going anywhere yet.

It's only Matty if Randy gets mad that he won't flip and he tries to get a 5 person majority to go after a physical threat. But I think Matty is safe. He has so much end game editing now it's ridiculous.

It's Randy if the onions can't convince someone (Matty and/or Sugar) to flip AND he cannot fake Uthong out about the fake idol at TC.

What I think will happen is that Randy doesn't tell them he has an idol until late in the TC (he could even say either me or Corrine have it) and will hope that the Uthongs split their vote between him and Corrine because they don't have any time to converse. It could still be a 3-3-2 tie if neither Matty nor Sugar flips.

It's Corrine if Randy convinces them the idol is real and they vote Corrine instead. Corvis supports this idea and his
awesome confessional analysis supports that Corrine goes soon. THANKS CORVIS For bringing back this great spoiling tool!!

Although, michel, Corrine's boyfriend thinks that Jiffy's comments about her toning it down to placate jury members is some evidence that Corrine faces the jury

But I was in the minority but it appears it may become a slight majority that Susie is our boot. First off, go read FP's great analyis of why she thinks Susie may go. michel also has some interesting things to say in his vote

In my vote post for Susie I JOKINGLY say it's because she's too much of an immunity threat...but my gut has been telling me it's her and I have been ignoring it...I ignored my gut last week and went with Corrine instead of Charlie.

But also Jiffy in his Blog from Ep. 7 he states:

Matty, Matty, Matty. He's like a Billy Joel song. Wearing his heart on his sleeve. He must stay in this game a long time. Along with Kenny, Crystal, Corrine, Randy, and Sugar.

I think Jiffy just may be giving us the Final 6. Our lovely Resident astrologist Georgina posted this week that:

"‘I'm just saying,’ Probst says, with a playful laugh. 'There have been times when I've jokingly said who wins the game, and I've been telling the truth. And nobody listens.’"

So maybe we should listen to Jiffy here.

Also Susie disappeared in confessionals last episode.

Corvis states in his confessional analysis post this week that

We have seen three Survivors disappear in confessionals before their boot episode this season, so that might be something to watch for. I said last time, that Susie will be the one we'll know more about next episode. Well, the fact she disappeared in an episode where she won immunity by building fire is significant. There had to be confessionals where she talked about how proud she was, how she built fire like a true Survivor, etc. We weren't shown any of that. If she makes to the end, why not show us that stuff? So now I am wondering if perhaps she doesn't make it.

So the people who are most in danger are (in order according to my thinking):

Corinne (strong D pattern)
Crystal (disappeared and more Ds than Ts)
Randy (slight D bump)
Susie (disappeared)

I just disagree that Susie is on the bottom, I think she's at the top followed by Corrine, Randy and Crystal.

Also I think Matty will want to replace Susie in the Crystal Kenny Susie F3.

MY Predictions (take em for what they're worth!!):

RC Auction: Randy and Crystal butt heads
IC Winner: Bob
Randy gets Bob's Fake Idol and knows it's fake and his plan works
Boot: Susie BUT I would not be at all surprised by Corrine or Randy going.

For additional information continue reading Veruca Salt's Amazing Editing thread...She's Back!! Also check out the Ep. 9 Insider transcripts Now where did b1 go..I hope she didn't think we imploded after last week's server problems!! I always appreciate her analysis of insider...Charlie and Marcus' honeymoon in Ponderosa ends this week, right BR?

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