Episode Eleven

Last time, on All-Star Survivor Spoiling:

After Lex and Kathy made a huge tactical error keeping Amber over Jerri (and who would have EVER said that three months ago without laughing?), Lex seemed the most likely to go from game strategy. But then Shakes came up with some decent logic about why Kathy would actually be the next to go. As IE and KObrien_Fan held their breath, game logic prevailed over the power of the spinning head, and Lex was sent packing, and hopefully will spend some of his time looking up the word "hypocrite" while waiting for the complementary hairstylist to perfect his Mohawk.

Cue the Survivor Theme Remix!

Episode 11: "A Thoughtful Gesture or a Deceptive Plan?"

SeeBS Misdirection
Courtesy of everyone's favorite Kittyloaf:
Feeling isolated, Kathy works to reconcile with a tribemate.
After several castaways are brought to tears, one Survivor surprises all.
Paranoia plagues Jenna, who witnesses a strategy session amongst tribemates.
Scrambling, panic and pleading intensify as Tribal Council approaches.

Everyone seems to agree that the last two lines are about Kathy's efforts to get her head off the chopping block, and that the second line will relate in someway to the impending family reward. As to who "surprises," the jury's still out, but it's probably going to be whoever wins the reward.

Vidcaps
We've got the old-fashioned Vidcaps and your new-fangled Webcaps.

Both focus on the upcoming family video reward and on Kathy's apparent attempt to get Chapera to turn on Jenna to save her own skin. Speculation on the videocaps thread is that Jenna might win RC or at least will get to share in it from her "tears of joy" (thus meaning she FINALLY gets her video 7 seasons after the first season) and that Rob's cockiness indicates that he wins immunity. The webcaps tell us that there's only 1 reward and 1 immunity. Speculation in that thread is that Shii-Ann wins reward and opts to share, a la Amazon Matthew. They've got a pretty good still of everyone toasting the winner in Shii's general direction, so take that for what you will. Immunity challenge would appear to be some sort of obstacle course with "heats:" Rob, Amber, Shii-Ann and Alicia v. Tom, Rupert, Kathy and Jenna. Speculation is that the heats will eliminate half the field each time, going from 8 to 4 to 2 to 1. If Rob's team wins, then everyone seems to think that Rob should coast to the IC win.

Lex's Post-Game Whining
Lex fulfills his inner Daw by doing the traditional Early Show and web chat. The threads mostly are analyzing Lex's martyr complex and his inability to separate the game from real life, but one interesting point is that Lex and Rob are apparently not friends in real life any more. If Rob makes it to F2, it seems to indicate that Lex will vote for whoever is opposing him just out of spite. You know, I used to respect Lex…sigh.

Who's the Bootee?
Well…let's just say everything is pointing in one direction: Kathy's. From a game logic perspective, Kathy's two alliance-mates have either gotten the heave-ho, or are Shii-Ann. Either way, logic tells us Kathy's next. The family visit usually happens next week, and we've got spoilers indicating that Kathy's family member got to Panama and then was told to go home. Plus, in that thread, KOBrien_Fan reported (at post #23) that Kathy will not have her regularly scheduled viewing party, indicating that she will likely be in NY doing the DAW thing. Snewser's got her going next in his scorecard, and he's got 4 checkmarks for week 11. There's still a chance the impossible could happen, but let's face it folks: if it looks like a Kathy boot, smells like a Kathy boot and sounds like a Kathy boot, then it's gonna be a Kathy boot.

However, Kathy isn't going down without a fight, as the Vidcaps indicate that she apparently is trying to rally support around getting Jenna booted. However, some are speculating that she might be trying to indicate that she wouldn't want Jenna to win in order to get Tom to ally with Jenna rather than Romber. However, she could just find Jenna annoying…. Either or.

Long Term Spoilers/Miscellaneous
Veruca's After the Twist Thread continues to provide some great insights about the editing of the game, potential alliances, what seating at TCs really means, and evaluating the strength of the bonds between the players. There's a lot there, and way too much to summarize here, so go take a look and see the work of some of the best spoilers on the net.

We also may want to keep in mind Alicia's Key Quote, when she promised to never write Rob's name down. Some have speculated that his could mean that Alicia may be the swing vote away from Rob if he gets to Final 2 when she fulfills her promise and never writes his name down. I'm not sure that's what happens, but I like the theory.

Marcopolo once again puts his typing and humor skills to the test to give us Survivor Insider. Some interesting stuff in there, and Marco's always a good read.

Our episode title for next week is perhaps the best description of our remaining contestants as I've ever heard: "Stupid People, Stupid, Stupid People.

We've got a small thread on betting sites and who they've got the best odds on. The sites seem to be steering clear of Romber based on spoilers, and Jenna and Tom are getting pretty good odds. It may be nothing, but last season's betting site info ended up having some spoiler value too.

Keep track of our analysis of Snewser's Scorecard or go right to the source.

We've said it once, and we'll say it again: We *heart* Guidelines. You should too.

New Threads
A thread popped up Tuesday afternoon speculating on what happens at endgame, if Snewser's apparent final three of Jenna, Amber and Rob happen. This, of course, assumes that the last three people on Snewser's score card actually are the final three, of course. But there some good speculation going on there, so check it out.

I think that's it. If any late breaking news comes my way, I'll update. Feel free to post any additions or corrections as well. Now I? Am off to finish this freakin' Biotech Law paper. Isn't it May yet?

SOTS is provided by SurvivorBlows.com as a service to our readers. The purpose of this post is to consolidate the threads in the Spoiler Forum pertaining to this week's episode. Feel free to reply to this post if you feel that a theory you support was not adequately represented in this message... Please use this thread for unified discussion of all topics as we approach the next episode.

Yet another Jslice masterpiece!
"They say the next big thing is here, that the revolution's near.
But to me it seems quite clear that it's all just a little bit of history repeating." -- Propellerheads