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"S32 | Vidcap Analysis | Ep. 12 "Now's the Time to Start Scheming" *no sources*"
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tribephyl 12064 desperate attention whore postings
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04-28-16, 08:19 PM (EST)
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"S32 | Vidcap Analysis | Ep. 12 "Now's the Time to Start Scheming" *no sources*"
T'is the depository for vidcaps and discussion of Ep12.
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  Table of Contents

  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 Post-Show Promo tribephyl 04-28-16 1
   RE: Post-Show Promo SquidProQuo 04-29-16 2
       RE: Post-Show Promo Flowerpower1 04-29-16 3
       RE: Post-Show Promo CTgirl 04-29-16 4
           RE: Post-Show Promo michel2 04-29-16 5
               RE: Post-Show Promo kingfish 04-29-16 6
               RE: Post-Show Promo CTgirl 04-29-16 8
                   RE: Post-Show Promo Sheldor 04-29-16 9
                       RE: Post-Show Promo michel2 04-30-16 15
 Web Promo 4/29 tribephyl 04-29-16 7
   RE: Web Promo 4/29 Sheldor 04-29-16 10
   RE: Web Promo 4/29 Sheldor 05-02-16 20
 S32E12 Press Images Sheldor 04-29-16 11
 S32E12 Immunity Challenge Sheldor 04-30-16 12
   RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge kingfish 04-30-16 13
       RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge Sheldor 04-30-16 14
           RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge Allred 05-01-16 16
               RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge Sheldor 05-01-16 17
                   RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge Allred 05-01-16 18
                       RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge Sheldor 05-02-16 19
                           RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge SquidProQuo 05-03-16 24
 RE: S32 | Vidcap Analysis | Ep. 12 ... michel2 05-02-16 21
   RE: S32 | Vidcap Analysis | Ep. 12 ... kingfish 05-03-16 22
       RE: S32 | Vidcap Analysis | Ep. 12 ... SquidProQuo 05-03-16 23
           WWAD.... Flowerpower1 05-03-16 25
               RE: WWAD.... kingfish 05-03-16 26
                   RE: WWAD.... Sheldor 05-03-16 27
                       RE: WWAD.... Flowerpower1 05-04-16 28
                       RE: WWAD.... Bebo 05-04-16 29

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tribephyl 12064 desperate attention whore postings
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04-28-16, 08:20 PM (EST)
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1. "Post-Show Promo"
Vidcaps and Transcript courtesy of SurvivorFever.net


JP: Next time on Survivor...
-01
-02
-03
-04
-05
-06
-07

JP: ...Jason is down and out...
-08

Jason (cam. conf.): No one will strategize with me.
-09

Jason (talking to Joe): It pisses me off.
-10
-11
-12

JP: ...until the majority starts to crumble from within.
-13
-14
-15

Tai (talking to Aubry): I think it's Michele. She's a bigger threat.
-16
-17
-18

Cydney (cam. conf.): You're trying to run this show. I'm like "no."
-19

Cydney (talking to Aubry): If it came down to it, would you vote with me, or would you vote with them?
-20
-21
-22

Aubry (cam. conf.): This a rough one.
-23
-24

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SquidProQuo 2455 desperate attention whore postings
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04-29-16, 01:23 AM (EST)
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2. "RE: Post-Show Promo"
Thank you, Tribe!!

Wow, interesting symbolic shot of Jason with the knife pointed at Michele. it appears that Tai wanting to vote out Michele is the misdirection for the week.

LOL that Mark the chicken has become like a character on the show.

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04-29-16, 07:43 AM (EST)
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3. "RE: Post-Show Promo"
LAST EDITED ON 04-29-16 AT 07:46 AM (EST)

Looks like Jason is cutting her off at the knees...

Misdirection or foreshadowing?

Or, is he stabbing the person next to him in the back? Who is that btw? Is that Tai?

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CTgirl 7693 desperate attention whore postings
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04-29-16, 10:43 AM (EST)
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4. "RE: Post-Show Promo"
LAST EDITED ON 04-29-16 AT 10:44 AM (EST)

Squid - LOL about Mark: CBS has added him(her?) to the opening credits

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michel2 1565 desperate attention whore postings
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04-29-16, 11:29 AM (EST)
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5. "RE: Post-Show Promo"
Now that's funny!

I wonder if it will get invited to the finale. Although a year is pretty long so has it even survived? Even if, getting an Asian bird into the US must be quite difficult so leave it to SeeBS to present a look-alike at the reunion...

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kingfish 19017 desperate attention whore postings
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04-29-16, 12:18 PM (EST)
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6. "RE: Post-Show Promo"
A Stunt double for Mark is likely. But there has been plenty of time for her to go thru quarantine.

That chicken sure is quick,

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CTgirl 7693 desperate attention whore postings
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04-29-16, 01:42 PM (EST)
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8. "RE: Post-Show Promo"
Rob C. and Stephen Fishbach were joking that it was one of the chickens in Second Chances and that Stephen ate him!
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Sheldor 1063 desperate attention whore postings
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04-29-16, 05:39 PM (EST)
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9. "RE: Post-Show Promo"
Yeah they joked about that but Juicy J on S31 was mostly black (see bottom photo) and does not look like Mark (top photo)


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michel2 1565 desperate attention whore postings
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04-30-16, 06:35 PM (EST)
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15. "RE: Post-Show Promo"
They've altered colors before!
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tribephyl 12064 desperate attention whore postings
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04-29-16, 01:37 PM (EST)
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7. "Web Promo 4/29"

Transcript

VO: CBS Wednesday...

Jason (to Cydney and Michele): Now's the time to start scheming.

Michele (cam. conf.): It would be smart to go to the end with Jason.

VO: ...Only 3 episodes remain...



VO: ...in this exciting and unpredictable season of Survivor

Tai (to Jason and Aubry): Michele's the next one to go. She's a bigger threat.

Cydney (cam. conf.): Absolutely not. I'm not gonna be told who to vote for. Cydney won't be told what to do.

Cydney: Tai has his own agenda.
Joe: I'd like to get rid of him.

Cydney: If it came down to it would you vote with me or would you vote with him.

Aubry (cam. conf.): This is a rough one.


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Sheldor 1063 desperate attention whore postings
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04-29-16, 06:20 PM (EST)
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10. "RE: Web Promo 4/29"
LAST EDITED ON 04-29-16 AT 08:19 PM (EST)

LAST EDITED ON 04-29-16 AT 08:16 PM (EST)

THANKS Tribephyl!

This is the Team Reward Challenge Tai/Jason/Michele vs Aubry/Cydney/Joe

Press Release: "A combination of balance and teamwork will earn some castaways a much-needed reward."




And this is the Immunity Challenge...

If you zoom the video to full screen it appears Cyndey has either completed her stack or has only one more to go.

Jason's stack is also tall but Jason's hand is blocking his stack and Aubry's head is blocking the view of Jason's table so can't tell how many more Jason has to do.

Tai's stack appears to be the next tallest but you can clearly see he has at least one more tile on the table.

Michele is next with a short stack on the table

Aubry and Joe are FAR behind

Looks like they have to spell IMMUNITY with their stack.

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05-02-16, 06:55 PM (EST)
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20. "RE: Web Promo 4/29"
I was watching and listening to this preview again and here are some corrections to the Transcript...


Tai (to Jason and Aubry): Michele's the next one to go. She's a bigger threat.

Cydney (cam. conf.): Absolutely not. I'm not gonna be told who to vote for. Tai is not going to dictate who I vote for

Aubry: Cydney won't is not going to be told what to do.

Cydney: Tai has his own agenda.
Joe: I'd like to get rid of him.

Cydney(to Aubry): If it came down to it would you vote with me or would you vote with him them.

Aubry (cam. conf. crying): This is a rough one.

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Sheldor 1063 desperate attention whore postings
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04-29-16, 06:21 PM (EST)
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11. "S32E12 Press Images"
LAST EDITED ON 04-29-16 AT 08:13 PM (EST)

ONLY 19 Press Images (Screen Grabs) made on Wed 4/27/2016 4:43pm to 6:48pm

Note: There are *No* Camera photos with Date/Time Stamps.
Just the Date/Time that the Screen Grabs were mode.

Click Thumbnail Image for Full Size image

Screen Grab on Wed 4/27/2016 4:43 PM
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Sheldor 1063 desperate attention whore postings
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04-30-16, 07:38 AM (EST)
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12. "S32E12 Immunity Challenge"
S32 Episode 12 Immunity Challenge

And here are some zoomed in photos of the platforms on each side. Also in Black/White.



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kingfish 19017 desperate attention whore postings
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04-30-16, 08:51 AM (EST)
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13. "RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge"
LAST EDITED ON 04-30-16 AT 08:55 AM (EST)

From the looks of all that, and if there isn't another stage or two to the challenge, it's between Jason and Cyd, with Cyd maybe having a slightly higher stack than Jason. Lo-def, hard to tell though.

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Sheldor 1063 desperate attention whore postings
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04-30-16, 02:08 PM (EST)
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14. "RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge"
I agree with your assessment Kingfish. CBS put a yellowish tinge plus fog effect over the Immunity Challenge video probably to obscure the details. My comments in the previous post above about the current status in this Immunity Challenge were:

If you zoom the video to full screen it appears Cyndey has either completed her stack (spelling IMMUNITY vertically) or has only one more tile to go but her table looks empty or near empty.

Jason's stack is also tall but Jason's hand is blocking his stack and Aubry's head is blocking the view of Jason's table so can't tell how many more Jason has to do.

Tai's stack appears to be the next tallest but you can clearly see he has at least one more tile on the table.

Michele is next with a short stack on the table

Aubry and Joe are FAR behind!

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05-01-16, 12:12 PM (EST)
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16. "RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge"
I agree guys. From the pics shown, you have a 3-way race.

Tai appears to be going back to pick up the last tile..3rd

Jason could be in the act of completing the last tile..2nd

Cyndey appears to have laid the last tile, no tiles in her hand and empty table..1st

If this is so, she is barely ahead of Jason. If maybe backing up and touching the table completes the task, then we should have a close finish.

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Sheldor 1063 desperate attention whore postings
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05-01-16, 01:21 PM (EST)
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17. "RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge"
This type of challenge is called "A Bit Tipsy"

It was used in both the first Blood vs Water won by Tyson
and in San Juan Del Sur won by Jon Misch

In BOTH previous times you stacked your last block then you had to wait for Jeff to count to Three.

If you have to count to Three in this challenge then NO one is done yet and Cydney must have at least one more block to stack.

For reference here is A Bit Tipsy from BvW


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05-01-16, 02:15 PM (EST)
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18. "RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge"
Nice. Thanks for the clarification.
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Sheldor 1063 desperate attention whore postings
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05-02-16, 04:50 PM (EST)
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19. "RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge"
One thing not noticeable in the screen caps is that Jeff Probst is walking backwards toward the tables and looks toward Aubry/Michele and then back toward the others.

If you stack your last block and Jeff counts to three then I would think Jeff would be near the tilting platforms if anyone had put their last block on the tilting platform. Jeff walking backwards makes me think there are more blocks for everyone.

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05-03-16, 01:30 PM (EST)
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24. "RE: S32E12 Immunity Challenge"
Good point, Sheldor. Thanks for bringing the old challenge video over.
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michel2 1565 desperate attention whore postings
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05-02-16, 09:53 PM (EST)
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21. "RE: S32 | Vidcap Analysis | Ep. 12 "Now's the Time to Start Scheming" *no sources*"
I don't know if you guys remember but Aubry had a nice confessional in episode 8:

Aubry (solo) "“I can kind of just sense what is going on. This is totally like High School. You look at our camp and it’s divided by (Scot shown) the tough guys and around them are (Michele was first shown biting her nails the camera panned to Julia) the girls who are kind of pretty and get along really well with those people and then the kind of people who are maybe a little shier, (Debbie is shown standing next to Aubry) a little bit nerdy on the outside but the jocks and the pretty people, (Scot looking goofy with his buff on his head, and a smiling Julia were then shown) they are not going to sit pretty forever. They age (Cydney shown) and get over ripe (Jason and his burnt shoulder shown) and then they are done and eventually the misfits get revenge."

I posted the following image in the editing thread:

I included Michele but she was mentioned only in the first half of the confessional. The second part, the one about not sitting pretty forever had only Scot, Julia, Cydney and Jason. They were still sitting pretty for the next episode when Debbie was voted out but now Scot and Julia have already exited. Does that mean Cydney and Jason are next?

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05-03-16, 08:16 AM (EST)
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22. "RE: S32 | Vidcap Analysis | Ep. 12 "Now's the Time to Start Scheming" *no sources*"
LAST EDITED ON 05-03-16 AT 08:32 AM (EST)

I'm beginning to sense a Cyd eviction.

1. In the promos Michele is mentioned as a target first. This is almost always a guarantee that she isn't going this week, it's a weak and transparent red herring but the producers continue to use it (before the historians get all riled up, I'll concede that there probably have been exceptions).

2. The mention of Cyd in the promos rebelling against Aubry and Tai and trying to make a move to evict Tai could actually be the motive for the others to vote her out. Paraphrasing her question to Aubry, "Will you vote with me?", she could be forcing Aubry to target her.

Tai has such an edge with his HI and his advantage of unknown (to them) power, that an attempt to catch him unaware and boot him is unlikely to succeed, and may result in a one/two vote eviction of either Michele or Cyd. From the above and because the promos are focused on her, Cyd's days on the island may be numbered.

I'm wavering from my conviction that this is Michele's week to go.

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05-03-16, 10:43 AM (EST)
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23. "RE: S32 | Vidcap Analysis | Ep. 12 "Now's the Time to Start Scheming" *no sources*"
From the perspective of what's the best move for Aubry, booting Cydney or Michele makes sense.

- If Aubry goes along and boots Tai, she would be left in a weaker position with Cyd/Jason/Michele vs. her and Joe at F5. Whereas if she sticks with Tai, she has the numbers. (Disregarding possible Joe med-evac.)

- Of the girls, Cydney has the stronger resume and is better at challenges overall. I think Cydney's goal is to sit next to Jason at the end, and I'm sure Aubry knows that.

- Aubry could probably use the excuse of Tai's advantage and Cyd being such a huge jury threat as the reason for her vote….and hope that Cydney has time to cool off and not be bitter.

It really comes down to who wins immunity this week. Even though it looks like Cydney is far ahead and wins IC, we know that all it takes is one slip for all the blocks to fall, so hard to go by any one shot in this type of challenge.

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05-03-16, 06:13 PM (EST)
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25. "WWAD...."
LAST EDITED ON 05-03-16 AT 06:14 PM (EST)

I agree with Squid....I have looked at it from Aubry's perspective the entire week.

As long as Tai is in the game, there is a bigger target than Aubry. Tai is the shield because he has the advantage and the HI. People will gun for him before they will gun for Aubry. If Tai goes, Aubry will be next in the cross hairs.

If Tai went: that would leave Aubry, Joe + Cydney, Michele, Jason. Clearly, Cydney, Michele, Jason could stick together and take out Aubry and Joe.

If Michele goes: that would leave Aubry, Joe, Tai + Cydney, Jason.

Aubry needs Joe and Tai.

I believe that either Cydney or Jason is most likely to win the IC. Does this picture look like Jason or Tai won (Post IC)?

It doesn't to me. I think that most likely Cydney wins the IC...fwiw.

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kingfish 19017 desperate attention whore postings
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05-03-16, 07:47 PM (EST)
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26. "RE: WWAD...."
I think that's a picture of Tai thinking "If I'd known he was going to be a hammock hog I'd have voted him out last week."

Seriously, that makes a lot of sense. Cyd winning IC simplifies things. Maybe the obvious misdirection in regard to Michele is mis-mis-direction.

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Sheldor 1063 desperate attention whore postings
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05-03-16, 09:27 PM (EST)
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27. "RE: WWAD...."
I was thinking the only reason for Aubry to be crying and saying the vote is hard was because likely Jason won Immunity forcing them to turn against one of themselves which would explain Tai pushing for Michele, Cydney/Joe pushing for Tai, and Cydney asking Aubry "if it came down to it would you vote with me or THEM"

I thought if Jason didn't win Immunity the 5 would simply vote out Jason but maybe they all want take Jason to the end as a goat and that's why they are turning on each other?

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05-04-16, 07:34 AM (EST)
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28. "RE: WWAD...."
All valid options, Sheldor! Could be that your thoughts were right on....Jason could very well win immunity! Sure makes sense.

Clearly Aubry is pressured to go with 2 separate ally's and is torn. Cydney being one, and Tai the other. That is her dilemma...

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05-04-16, 01:35 PM (EST)
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29. "RE: WWAD...."
I was thinking the only reason for Aubry to be crying and saying the vote is hard was because likely Jason won Immunity forcing them to turn against one of themselves...and Cydney asking Aubry "if it came down to it would you vote with me or THEM"

I can think of another possibility. I think the disagreement could be over whether Tai or Jason would be targeted. If Cydney wins IC, I could see her pushing to get Jason out of the game so he can't win any more challenges. Meanwhile, Jason and Michelle want to target Tai because they can flush out the idol and Jason has his revenge.

Aubry is torn on which way to go because she's torn over what would be best for her endgame. She could vote with Tai to get Michelle out of the game - Aubry knows Tai could save himself with the idol, but will the jury hold it against her that she sold out her alliance to keep Tai. Keeping Jason could be an issue, since Aubry knows he considers her a challenge threat. And if Tai's out, she's lost her key alliance member. She sees problems with each possibility and is trying to figure out which is the right one.

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