LAST EDITED ON 05-13-15 AT 08:23 AM (EST)
LAST EDITED ON 05-12-15 AT 08:44 PM (EST)
Welcome to the SOTS, the State of the Spoiling, where we try to compile a one stop shop with all the facts delivered through the week, so we can make the most accurate prediction as to the unfolding events of the current episode. In the immortal words of Colleen Haskel, Season One, "Be nice and play fair"!
This week our title for episode 13 is:My Word is My Bond
This could be Mike, but it could also be Rodney as he tries to outwit some of his five...We still have a few surprises left this season....will Mike lose the IC?, will Dan play his vote doubler?, will Carolyn play her HII?, and finally will Rodney ever go on reward? So, to start the episode, let's examine the teases....MISDIRECTION CLUES
First of all, in the Title, tweets, and teases thread, located here, CTGirl has posted a lot of Jiffy quotes. To sum it up, Jiffy says that Mike has nothing to lose and so he goes hog wild pitting them all against each other, while the alliance of 5 plays defensively, not offensively.
Georgianna ponders if ANOTHER HII will be found by Mike?
The official teases by CBS are:
1. With only six castaways left in the game, immunity is more important than ever. uh.....DUH! Especially for Mike.
2. castaways are puzzled at a tough reward challenge.
The RC has a puzzle in it.
3. A strong alliance begins to crumble. But, in the preview promo, Dan tells us that the alliance always knew that eventually they would turn on each other. Jiffy confirms it: the majority alliance crumbles. The way I see it....in order for the alliance of 5 to crumble, then Mike needs to win immunity.
4. Mike see's an opportunity. Mike creates havoc pitting them all against each other. Dan doesn't buy Mike's bill of sale at all, now that we know he is one of Rodney's chosen ones. But, Sierra and Carolyn are a different story?
The preview promo spells it out...there are shots of Dan/Rodney/Will, then we hear Dan note that they always knew the alliance would turn on each other, followed by a picture of Sierra and Carolyn. IT's not hard to see where they will probably side.
Then we see Mike telling Dan his alliance is gunning for him, but he's not falling for it, he knows he's in the numbers with Rodney and Will. Then, we see Mike telling Carolyn and Sierra that he is positive, one millionth percent, that Dan is voting for one of them with the boys.
Let's try to put the vidcaps in some kind of order for a time line:
Mike at the start of the episode, in the AM, telling it like it is:
I've got to win immunity to stay in the game!
Dan confirms it....The alliance wants Mike gone!
Here is the video of the reward challenge:
Down netting, up a wooden frame, down the wash boards, to the draw bridge, to untie, then chop rope to get dozens of wooden pieces dropped, 23 of which have a letter, then unscramble the 23 letters to solve a word puzzle.
With Carolyn and Mike on the same team, I am solidly with them winning the RC. Here they are scrambling though....look pretty even with the 2 big guys on different teams...
Mike chopping the rope to get the pieces released...
The most important pic for me is this one, when they are lined up at the start. Note Carolyn's hair is in a pony tail, not one braid, and Sierra's hair is in two braids.
Now, the IC. This involves using I think some kind of grappling hook to hook and reel in 3 sets of bags. Once you have your bags, most likely containing a ball in each bag, you race to the other side where there is a balancing maze. You must take a ball and get it without falling in to a pit, to the exit point in the middle of the board. I don't know where the three bags of balls come in, perhaps the first one to get all 3 through the maze will win?
Please note that Mike has the buff on his head, Carolyn now has the back braid, wearing her bathing suit, and Sierra is now wearing her hair pulled up high on her head in a high pony.
Clearly, it comes down to Sierra with the blue table, and Mike with the green board...
JP: We are neck and neck right now!
So, the question is, how many balls do they have to sink?
So, where do the other pictures fit in on the time line?
This picture in the hammock with Rodney is close to the RC, most likely the morning of the RC, Sierra is under a blanket....***CORRECTION: On further review this picture is AFTER the RC, you can still see the blue fabric on Sierra's left wrist that she wore as part of the blue team in the RC. This is two of the losers who are back at camp while the winners, Carolyn/Mike/Will are off on reward.
Next, I think this picture is the morning of the IC, note Rodney is wearing his long sleeved shirt, hair is similar to how the girls wear it in the IC...
These shots are most likely after the IC....Mike with buff on head....then below, Carolyn with braid and Sierra with high ponytail...
Finally, we have these pictures from the TC:
Shirin and Tyler. Clearly, they like what has happened! Is Shirin happy to see Mike wearing the IN, or perhaps after the vote, when someone from the 5 goes home? Both Tyler and Shirin are happy!
Then we have this picture of Jiffy, as he says: It is anybody's game to win.
RC Winners: Rodney strikes out AGAIN! Winners are Mike, Carolyn, and Will
IC Winner: Mike
In order for it to be "anybody's game", SOMEBODY has to go. I think the 2 that best qualify as somebody are Mike and Rodney. Mike because he's been the "biggest threat" to win the game since Joe left, and Rodney because he's been in charge of "the alliance".
~My 2 cents: Don't know if Dan will play the doubler or not, but I think he will, and I think that Carolyn will also play her HII, which nullifies all of Dan/Rodney/Will's votes. Whoever Mike/Carolyn/Sierra vote for will lose. I think it's Rodney, but it could be Dan too.
*Just read this quote by Michel: Jeff usually says it's anybody's game after a blindside.
If that is the case, I wouldn't be surprised to see Dan go either. He's my second choice for boot....